Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Editorial: Somalia must take the U.S. NSS seriously to unlock its resources

By Ismail Osman

The US Government has introduced a new direction in its African policy which uses direct language for business deals instead of emotional statements. The National Security Strategy section on Africa defines a specific strategic direction. Washington seeks to reduce charitable giving while promoting commercial activities. The US seeks to establish specific partnerships which support its requirements for energy resources and rare mineral supplies and geopolitical strategic goals.

The NSS provides Africa with a detailed description of what will happen. If you read it closely, the text tells Africa exactly what is coming. The question is whether African nations, Somalia included, are ready to understand the moment and shape it to their advantage.

US strategy shift

The strategy argues that the United States should move away from an aid driven posture and toward trade and investment. It spells out that energy and critical minerals are the new frontier for American interests. It also hints at a future in which the United States partners only with governments that it sees as reliable, stable, and open to American markets.

Here is the part that should keep every policymaker in Mogadishu wide awake. Somalia sits on one of the largest untapped offshore oil reserves in Africa. Multiple geological surveys, from Royal Dutch Shell to Spectrum and other seismic studies, have pointed to massive hydrocarbon potential along the Somali Basin. Add to that the long list of rare minerals scattered across the country, including uranium deposits documented since the 1970s, and Somalia becomes more than another developing state. It becomes a strategic energy and resource hub in a world racing toward new supply chains.

For decades Somalia’s instability buried this reality under conflict headlines. But today the picture is changing. A government working to restore territorial control and rebuild institutions suddenly finds itself positioned at the crossroads of global resource competition. This is precisely why studying the U.S. National Security Strategy is not optional. It is a requirement for survival in a world where great powers are rewriting the rules of engagement.

Great power competition

If the United States is signaling that it wants investment instead of long term security commitments, then Somalia must understand what that means. It must be ready with a clear policy that protects its sovereignty, maximizes national revenue, and prevents foreign exploitation disguised as partnership. That can only happen when policymakers read these documents with a critical eye instead of treating them as distant diplomatic texts.

Think of the alternative. China is not waiting for Washington to decide how it feels about Africa. It has already built roads, ports, and digital infrastructure across the continent. It has signed mineral deals, secured long term concessions, and tied itself to African economies from the Sahel to the Horn. If the United States approaches Africa with a mindset that resembles old neocolonial habits, Africa must be prepared to say no and present other options. Competition is healthy only if Africa knows its value.

Somalia must walk into this geopolitical arena with confidence. Its natural resources are not minor bargaining chips. They are national assets that could fund an entire generation of development if managed with transparency and a strong regulatory framework. Oil can bring revenue. Uranium and other rare minerals can place Somalia at the center of nuclear energy supply chains. Natural gas could power regional economies. These are not abstract possibilities. They are real and documented.

Strategy and sovereignty

But potential alone is useless without strategy. Somalia must map its mineral wealth properly, invest in legal frameworks, and create institutions capable of negotiating fair production sharing agreements. It must understand the difference between partnership and dependency. A country that knows its worth does not negotiate from weakness. It negotiates from clarity.

Washington’s new policy also warns that it wants stability without long term commitments. That means Somalia cannot rely on the United States to solve its security challenges. It must strengthen its own capabilities, stabilize liberated areas, and continue degrading terror groups. A stable Somalia is not only good for national security. It is a prerequisite for foreign investment. No investor will drill oil or build processing plants in a vacuum of insecurity.

What Africa must avoid is falling into the same old trap of taking instructions instead of crafting strategies. If the United States wants reliable partners, then Africa must behave like one by setting clear terms. Respect is not requested. It is earned through preparation.

Somalia’s leaders have a rare chance to shape the next chapter of Somali statehood. Understanding the U.S. National Security Strategy is part of that work. It is not about pleasing Washington. It is about understanding how the world sees Africa and deciding how Somalia wants to respond.

The global scramble for energy and minerals is underway. Somalia is not a spectator. It is sitting on one of the most valuable seats at the table. The question now is simple. Will Somalia use that seat wisely, or will others decide its future for it?

Ismail Osman
Ismail Osman
Ismail D. Osman is a former Deputy Director of Somalia’s National Intelligence and Security Agency. He writes on Somalia and Horn of Africa security, governance, and regional geopolitics. Contact: osmando[at]gmail.com

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